A low-pressure system developing over the Bay of Bengal is expected to intensify into Cyclone Montha and affect weather across Nepal from Kartik 11 to 15, the Department of Hydrology and Meteorology’s Meteorological Forecasting Division has warned. Its bulletin forecasts rain and snowfall in various parts of the country from Thursday through Saturday, with rainfall of up to 200 millimetres possible in some areas. Authorities in Morang district have urged people to remain on high alert as meteorologists warn that already saturated hills face a high risk of landslides.
Rain and snow forecast across the country
The forecast points to a period of unsettled weather as the developing system moves from the Bay of Bengal towards intensification as Cyclone Montha. The division has warned that its effects could be felt in Nepal over several days, with the stated impact window running from Kartik 11 to 15. The bulletin separately forecasts rain and snowfall from Thursday through Saturday, indicating that weather conditions may vary across the country and during the forecast period.
The possibility of up to 200 millimetres of rain in some areas is a notable part of the warning. That figure applies to some locations, not necessarily to the country as a whole. The division’s forecast describes rain and snowfall across various parts of Nepal, but the information available does not specify which locations will receive the highest totals or how much precipitation each area can expect. The scale and local distribution of rainfall will therefore matter as the system develops.
The forecast also includes snowfall, alongside rain, as a possible impact in parts of the country. The division has not identified specific snowfall locations in the information provided. Its broad warning is that weather conditions could be affected in different parts of Nepal during the coming days, and that people should follow the division’s updates as the forecast period approaches.
Saturated hills raise landslide concerns
Meteorologists have warned of a high landslide risk because hills are already saturated. Additional rainfall could add pressure in areas where the ground has absorbed substantial moisture, making the forecast especially concerning for communities in or near landslide-prone terrain. The warning highlights that the potential hazard is not limited to the amount of rain expected during this particular system; existing ground conditions are also a factor.
Authorities in Morang district have urged high alert in response to the developing weather threat. The district-level appeal comes as the national forecast warns of possible rain and snowfall and significant rainfall in some places. The information available does not detail specific local measures or identify particular communities at risk, but the call for heightened vigilance reflects concern about the possible effects of the weather system.
Potential effects on farming and daily life
The Meteorological Forecasting Division has advised caution, warning that the weather could have adverse effects on agriculture and daily life. Rainfall and snowfall during the forecast period could disrupt normal activities, while the possibility of heavy rain may create additional challenges in affected areas. The division has not provided a detailed list of expected disruptions, so the extent of any impact will depend on where and how much precipitation occurs.
For agriculture, the warning means that weather conditions during the period could affect farming activities, although the bulletin information provided does not specify particular crops, regions or types of damage. The same uncertainty applies to wider daily-life impacts: the forecast signals a risk but does not establish what disruptions will occur or where. Residents and communities are being advised to take the alert seriously and remain attentive to subsequent weather information.
The system is still described as a low-pressure area expected to intensify into Cyclone Montha, and the forecast concerns possible effects rather than confirmed outcomes. The division’s warning covers Kartik 11 to 15, while its bulletin forecasts rain and snowfall from Thursday through Saturday. With up to 200 millimetres of rain possible in some places and saturated hills raising landslide concerns, authorities and residents will be watching for updated forecasts as the system develops.
